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Visualizing Treasury Issuance Strategy. (arXiv:1802.03376v1 [q-fin.PM])

We introduce simple cost and risk proxy metrics that can be attached to Treasury issuance strategy to complement analysis of the resulting portfolio weighted-average maturity (WAM). These metrics are...

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Replica Approach for Minimal Investment Risk with Cost. (arXiv:1802.03322v1...

In the present work, the optimal portfolio minimizing the investment risk with cost is discussed analytically, where this objective function is constructed in terms of two negative aspects of...

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Heard it Through the Grapevine: Direct and Network Effects of a Tax...

Tax enforcement may affect both the behavior of those directly treated and of some taxpayers not directly treated but linked via a network to those who are treated. A large-scale randomized field...

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Hospital Pricing and Public Payments -- by Michael Darden, Ian McCarthy, Eric...

A longstanding debate in health economics and health policy concerns how hospitals adjust prices with private insurers following reductions in public funding. A common argument is that hospitals engage...

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Do Conditional Cash Transfers Improve Economic Outcomes in the Next...

Conditional cash transfer programs have spread to over 80 countries in the past two decades, but little is known about their long-term effects on the youth they target. This paper estimates the impact...

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Do Employee Spinoffs Learn Markets From Their Parents? Evidence From...

It is well established that employee spinoffs learn their parents' technologies, but little is known about their demand-side learning. We exploit the identification in international trade data of...

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The Technological Elements of Artificial Intelligence -- by Matt Taddy

We have seen in the past decade a sharp increase in the extent that companies use data to optimize their businesses. Variously called the `Big Data' or `Data Science' revolution, this has been...

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Making Big Changes: The Impact of Moves on Marriage among U.S. Army Personnel...

We use exogenously determined, long-distance relocations of U.S. Army soldiers to investigate the impact of moving on marriage. We find that marriage rates increase sharply around the time of a move in...

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Analyzing the Risk of Transporting Crude Oil by Rail -- by Charles F. Mason

In this paper, I combine data on incidents associated with rail transportation of crude oil and detailed data on rail shipments to appraise the relation between increased use of rail to transport crude...

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Collateral Damage -- by Gary B. Gorton, Toomas Laarits

A financial crisis is an event in which the holders of short-term debt come to question the collateral backing that debt. So, the resiliency of the financial system depends on the quality of that...

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Do Proxies for Informed Trading Measure Informed Trading? Evidence from...

This paper exploits hand-collected data on illegal insider trades to test whether standard illiquidity measures can detect informed trading. Controlling for unobserved cross-sectional and time-series...

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Intergenerational Spillovers in Disability Insurance -- by Gordon B. Dahl,...

Does participation in a social assistance program by parents have spillovers on their children's own participation, future labor market attachment, and human capital investments? While...

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Natural Gas Price Elasticities and Optimal Cost Recovery Under Consumer...

Half of American households heat their homes with natural gas furnaces and 43% use it to heat their water. Hence, understanding residential natural gas consumption behavior has become a first-order...

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Earnings Test, Non-actuarial Adjustments and Flexible Retirement -- by Axel...

In response to the challenges of increasing longevity, an obvious policy response is to gradually increase the statutory eligibility age for public pension benefits and to shut down pathways to early...

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Decision Fatigue and Heuristic Analyst Forecasts -- by David Hirshleifer,...

Psychological evidence indicates that decision quality declines after an extensive session of decision-making, a phenomenon known as decision fatigue. We study whether decision fatigue affects...

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Using Online Prices for Measuring Real Consumption Across Countries -- by...

We show that online prices can be used to construct quarterly purchasing power parities (PPPs) with a closely-matched set of goods and identical methodologies in a variety of developed and developing...

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Ancient Origins of the Global Variation in Economic Preferences -- by Anke...

Variation in economic preferences is systematically related to both individual and aggregate economic outcomes, yet little is known about the origins of the worldwide preference variation. This paper...

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Do Discrete Choice Approaches to Valuing Urban Amenities Yield Different...

Amenities that vary across cities are typically valued using either a hedonic model, in which amenities are capitalized into wages and housing prices, or a discrete model of household location choice....

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The Comparative Advantage of Medicare Advantage -- by Joseph P. Newhouse,...

We ascertain the degree of service-level selection in Medicare Advantage (MA) using individual level data on the 100 most frequent HCC's or combination of HCC's from two national insurers in 2012-2013....

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Kaldor and Piketty's Facts: The Rise of Monopoly Power in the United States...

The macroeconomic data of the last thirty years has overturned at least two of Kaldor's famous stylized growth facts: constant interest rates, and a constant labor share. At the same time, the research...

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